Sí, justo, nubarrones grises oscuros. Aquí abajo un correo que describe los 3 escenarios posibles según lo que ocurra el viernes 9/2:

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From: Paul de Clerck via core_eudd <core_eudd@lists.corporatejustice.org>

Reply-To: Paul de Clerck <paul.declerck@foeeurope.org>

To: core_eudd@lists.corporatejustice.org <core_eudd@lists.corporatejustice.org>, wg-mhrdd@lists.corporatejustice.org <wg-mhrdd@lists.corporatejustice.org>, wg-envi@lists.corporatejustice.org <wg-envi@lists.corporatejustice.org>, bindingrules@foeeurope.org <bindingrules@foeeurope.org>

Subject: [core_eudd] Politico

Date: Wed, 7 Feb 2024 07:44:07 +0100

BERLIN SET TO STOP THE SHOW — AGAIN: In a case of history repeating itself, Berlin is about to tank an EU law that has already essentially crossed the finish line. Hubertus Heil, Germany's labor minister, announced on Tuesday that the country will abstain in a vote among member countries on new EU business supply chain oversight rules after its ruling coalition failed to agree a common position on the file.

Just when we thought we were out: Member countries had been due on Friday to sign off on the rules — which would require EU-based companies to police their global value chains for environmental or human-rights risks — after negotiators from the EU institutions clinched a deal on the file in December. Although the final deal made significant concessions to Germany, the FDP subsequently mounted a rearguard action against the rules. Last week the finance and justice ministries, both liberal-led, doubled down on their opposition.

Antonia has more here.

Been there, done that: Just over a year ago, Berlin caused an uproar in Brussels with its last-minute veto on phasing out combustion engines.

NGOs up in arms: Germany's behavior, past and present, "makes the EU unmanageable ... to whose benefit? In the short term, it benefits big business that has already put a huge mark on the text," Marc-Olivier Herman, Oxfam EU's economic justice policy lead, told Morning Trade. Nele Meyer, director of the European Coalition for Corporate Justice, called Germany's abstention "a betrayal of its past leadership on sustainability due diligence and a blow to global efforts for corporate accountability."

Why it matters: Germany's abstention puts the law's Friday adoption in jeopardy, with three possible scenarios on the table:

Scenario 1: For the law to pass despite a German abstention, a number of countries that are currently on the fence — most importantly Italy — would have to vote in favor. The European Parliament's legal affairs committee is then slated to vote on the law next week, with a vote in plenary scheduled for April.

Scenario 2: If other skeptical countries, especially Italy, do rally behind Berlin and abstain, the law won't pass. In that case the legislation wouldn't be dead, but the timeframe to renegotiate it is extremely tight — and its future is uncertain.

Scenario 3: The Belgian presidency could also decide to take the item off Friday's agenda to avoid such a scenario — preventing the law from being killed but also further delaying a file that's already under time pressure to avoid its falling through the legislative cracks. A Belgian presidency spokesperson told Morning Trade that the file is currently still on the agenda.

De: Paco Checa [mailto:comunicacion@setem.org]
Enviado el: miércoles, 7 de febrero de 2024 10:05
Para: Eva Kreisler
CC: equipocrl-setem@grups.pangea.org
Asunto: [Equipocrl-setem] Re: Incidencia Directiva DD: actualización

Pues tiene mala pinta, con las elecciones europeas además a la vista.

Gracias Eva por compartir.

Saludos,

Paco

El 7 feb 2024, a las 9:47, Eva Kreisler <ekreisler@setem.org> escribió:

Hola,

Breve actualización para compartir que se está torciendo la aprobación de la directiva de diligencia debida de las empresas en materia de sostenibilidad

Próxima votación: viernes 9 Febrero

Para ser aprobado, el texto debe contar con el voto a favor del 55% de los Estados miembros y los Estados miembros favorables a la propuesta deben representar al menos el 65% de la población total de la UE

Si no saliese, se reabriría el texto de compromiso al que se llegó en Diciembre 2023 entre el Parlamento Europeo y el Consejo...y, previsiblemente se rebajaría ante las presiones de los más reticentes.

Alemania, que cuenta mucho a nivel poblacional, apunta a la abstención (gobierno de coalición, partido liberal se opone) lo que hace peligrar que el texto salga:

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/labour-minister-germany-abstain-eu-supply-chain-law-vote-2024-02-06/

Se está produciendo movilización de organizaciones como este comunicado del Instituto de DDHH (Berlín).

No está clara la posición de Francia y de Italia.

Nos traslada la PER que la situación está muy cambiante y que hay más o menos optimismo según el interlocutor. La PER ha escrito a los ministerios de Economía y de Transición Ecológica pidiendo al gobierno que se posicione en público y en privado (con los gobiernos más reticentes) a favor.

Si se decide hacer algún tipo de comunicado, nos sumaremos.

Ciao,

Eva

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